Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s Election Update for Thursday, Oct. 22, 2020! As President Trump and Joe Biden prepare to take the stage tonight for the final presidential debate, Trump has just a 12 in 100 chance of winning the presidency, while Biden has an 88 in 100 chance, according to our presidential forecast.<a class="espn-footnote-link" data-footnote-id="1" href="https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/where-the-presidential-race-stands-before-the-last-debate/#fn-1" data-footnote-content="
As of 10 a.m. Eastern on Oct. 22.
“>1 And according to national polls, Biden leads Trump by an average of 9.9 percentage points.
How voting is going so far in 2020 | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast
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